Damascus, fearing that the sanctions against Moscow will hit food and fuel supplies, is looking for new suppliers. The risk is to benefit Turkey and the pro-ISIS militias.
Kurdish forces send fighters and assets, even heavy ones, to Ain Issa. There is fear of a maxi infiltration attempt by TAF allied groups to take the M4.
Moscow, in response to jihadist attack on the M4, supports the Damascus offensive in al Barah. Meanwhile, the SDF in Deir Ezzor silently carry out Phase 2 of Deterrence of Terrorism against Isis
Daesh attacks military posts in Badia al-Ashara for hours. Rejected only thanks to pro-Iranian militias. In Idlib new joint patrol Russia-Turkey on the M4, but the contrasts with HTS are not solved.
HTS arrests Faylaq Al-Sham leader (who does the same) and increases blocks on M4. Ankara risks losing control of the area of influence, especially if the Wahhabis win the Muslim Brotherhood.
The constant interruptions from Alouk station boost the risks related to the coronavirus, especially in Hasaka. Meanwhile, Russia is increasingly nervous with Ankara on Idlib.
TAF control the water stations and, despite the coronavirus, continue to stop the flows. Especially in Hasaka. Goal: to drive out the Kurds. Meanwhile, COVID-19 situation in the country is worsening.