Moscow, in response to jihadist attack on the M4, supports the Damascus offensive in al Barah. Meanwhile, the SDF in Deir Ezzor silently carry out Phase 2 of Deterrence of Terrorism against Isis
Daesh attacks military posts in Badia al-Ashara for hours. Rejected only thanks to pro-Iranian militias. In Idlib new joint patrol Russia-Turkey on the M4, but the contrasts with HTS are not solved.
HTS arrests Faylaq Al-Sham leader (who does the same) and increases blocks on M4. Ankara risks losing control of the area of influence, especially if the Wahhabis win the Muslim Brotherhood.
The constant interruptions from Alouk station boost the risks related to the coronavirus, especially in Hasaka. Meanwhile, Russia is increasingly nervous with Ankara on Idlib.
TAF control the water stations and, despite the coronavirus, continue to stop the flows. Especially in Hasaka. Goal: to drive out the Kurds. Meanwhile, COVID-19 situation in the country is worsening.
The TAF bomb, despite the UN request for a truce, Aleppo, Ain Issa and Tal Abyad. Ankara fears back attacks if it resumes Spring Shield. Meanwhile, Damascus confirms first death from COVID-19.
The city is strategic for both Ankara and Damascus: it is the gateway to Aleppo and Idlib. Great expectations for the Putin-Erdogan meeting, which probably points on a truce agreement.
Before the Ankara maneuvers, the SDF and Inherent Resolve had brought them down by 46%. Now, however, Daesh prepares the "month of anger" to avenge al-Baghdadi.
The Iran position could have a weight. Moreover, if Damascus-SDF found an agreement, the campaign would have uncertain results. Meanwhile, Jazeera Storm continues the hunt for Isis.