The most accredited hypothesis is that it is due to logistical needs (supplying the front line with ammunition). This suggests that Ankara lacks advanced Combat Service Support.
Moscow doesn’t want to get involved Ankara-Kurds conflict. Meanwhile, the TAF intensifies raids against the SDF command and control centers and sources of supply.
Ankara's intelligence makes several arrests in Aleppo, while the TAF and allied militias increase the attacks. The Kurds are preparing to defend themselves, even with the help of Damascus.
Baghdad, which accuses Ankara of being responsible for the massacre of tourists in Dohuk, strengthens border security also with Kurdish support and recalls the ambassador.
Launch of leaflets written in Kurmanci in the mountains near the village of Hirure (Dohuk) to invite the guerrillas to lay down weapons and return to a normal life.
Massive maneuvers are underway in the area, starting with air raids and bombings, then developing with a land invasion in Kurdistan. Ongoing battle in Tel Tamar.
One was in Zawiya (Salahuddin) and the other in Daquq (Kirkuk). IS stocks of C4 and IED were stored. Meanwhile, PKK attacks the Peshmerga in Kurdistan. There is a risk of escalation.
The SDF: From US a stab in the back. High risk of ISIS return, vanishing the sacrifice of 11,000 martyrs. Damascus, meanwhile, could use the conflict to send the SAA east of the Euphrates.