Ankara deploys TAF near Muhanbal to seal the highway and allow joint patrols with Russia in Idlib. HTS hostile militias, however, are growing and Moscow is increasingly nervous.
Ankara increasingly in difficulty: from Idlib to Tal Abyad, nervousness increases in the FSA, afraid of being crushed by HTS. The M4 is still blocked and the war on the Kurds is not bearing fruit.
The group, after declaring war on rivals of Faylaq al-Sham, announces an imminent offensive against the SAA. Meanwhile, Turkey is unable to unlock joint patrols with Russia on the M4.
A group, probably linked to HTS, is removing the telephone and electrical pylons on the highway. Objective: to hinder Turkey-Russia joint patrols and the SAA offensive.
HTS arrests Faylaq Al-Sham leader (who does the same) and increases blocks on M4. Ankara risks losing control of the area of influence, especially if the Wahhabis win the Muslim Brotherhood.
The convoy, escorted by drones, enters Idlib and arrives in Naryab. But then is forced to go back. Moscow, exhausted patience with Ankara, supports the Damascus maxi operation in the province.
The constant interruptions from Alouk station boost the risks related to the coronavirus, especially in Hasaka. Meanwhile, Russia is increasingly nervous with Ankara on Idlib.
The TAF, blocked in Idlib, are still bombing the border of the buffer zone in Tal Abyad and Ain Issa. Ankara also releases a Daesh Emir. Objective: to increase the pressure on the SDF.
Ankara deployed over 2,100 vehicles and 10,000 TAF soldiers to the province, in case of Spring Shield reactivating against Damascus. Erdogan, however, also continues to negotiate with Russia.
TAF and SAA exchange artillery shots between Saraqeb and inside of the province. Nervousness about coronavirus and situation on M4 is growing. Meanwhile, Russia is moving alone in the east.