The group close to al Qaeda takes over in Afrin the pro-Turkey militias Ahrar Al-Sharqiyah, that committed crimes against the Kurds, and extend influence beyond Idlib.
Militia and terrorists will have more chances to hit by exploiting the "distraction" of the enemies. The areas involved are those of clashes with pro-Turkey groups and with Russian bases.
The Hamza bin Abdul Muttalib Brigade should include all the allied militias in Idlib and Aleppo. Objective: to have more control over the sub-groups to avoid surprises.
HTS today faces a request for general mobilization of the population in Aleppo, in addition to the Russian raids on Idlib and the clashes between pro-Turkey militias.
The hypothesis that Moscow may have new "internal" enemis among the allies in the Middle Eastern country is taking hold. Federation bases and assets in the area are at risk.
Three of them leave in a few months. The latest is Abu Al-Hareth Al-Masri, member of the Supreme Council for Fatwa and a close advisor to Zawahiri with al Qaeda.
Ankara continues to send reinforcements and supplies to the front line in Idlib and Manbij. Damascus does the same, while the SDF strengthen the posts. The tension is sky high.
The wave of raids in Idlib is a message: stop or we will resume hitting you systematically. Moscow cannot afford a partner war with the offensive in Ukraine underway.
The cause is the uncertainty linked to the new Ankara offensive in Kurdistan. The factions fear being squeezed between the TAF and the SDF, who also have the SAA on their side.