It includes 5 Qaedist groups, convinced that the former Al-Nusra Front is too soft with Damascus. Meanwhile, Russia is preparing the ground for the SAA offensive in Al-Barah.
Damascus tries to push the militias towards the M4, so that Turkey is forced to intervene. Ankara meanwhile controls Ariha and deploys Atilgan anti-aircraft defense systems.
Assad seeks to revitalize the economy despite war and sanctions, while the Kurds aim to defeat Isis at the root. In Idlib, however, the SAA increases the pressure on pro-Turkey militias.
Ankara continues to send assets to reduce the risk of HTS aggression on joint patrols with Russia, as well as to be ready in case the truce with Damascus fails.
Raid in Jisr Shoghur on a jihadist weapons depot. Turkey could not act to avoid jeopardizing the truce with Damascus. Meanwhile, the population is a victim of HTS.
Moscow mediates the release of the traffic of civilian convoys on the M4 between Ain Issa and Tal Amar with Turkey. Meanwhile, pro-Ankara militias in Idlib try to weaken HTS with protests.
Damascus forced to send reinforcements to Abu Kamal, while in the east SDF-Inherent Resolve continue raids against Daesh. In Idlib, HTS strengthens the military wing by choosing a more "pragmatic" leader.
Former Al-Nusra Front seeks leadership-funds thanks to exchanges with "external territories", controlling M4. Pro-Turkey militias, however, try to boycott. That's why the internal war was born.
Islamic State attacks SAA and Liwa al-Quds (just arrived in the province). There is a risk that Daesh will rise again. Meanwhile protests against Turkey in Idlib are worsening.
Relocation of para-military groups, especially from Deir Ezzor, towards Palmyra and Damascus. It will create problems for the SAA against Isis, despite Liwa al-Quds' arrival in Abu Kamal.