Soldiers and Russian contractors enter the city without fighting. The Tuareg, in fact, had retreated early. Furthermore, with the JINM they control all surrounding areas.
MINUSMA's disengagement is accelerating the crisis between FAMA-Wagner and Tuareg. In between are JNIM-ISGS. The chaos in the Sahel country is expanding rapidly.
The situation in the country worsens as a result of the sanctions, and Russia's support with Wagner is less significant than expected. Accordingly, the regime must deal.
The contractors are in disarray. There is no leader and there is an internal war between those who have joined the armed forces, who has gone on holiday and who will never lower his head.
The pro-ISIS jihadists have two objectives: to replenish their ranks, decimated by SADC anti-terrorism operations, and to maintain control over the population with terror.
There are no longer security conditions for UN peacekeepers to operate. The FAMA and Wagner are in difficulty with the Tuareg of the CSP and the jihadists of ISGS-JNIM.
Russian contractors, despite the threats, are in great difficulty: the population of the North supports the Tuareg militia and resources are scarce. Furthermore, the priorities are different.
Two violent attacks on the border with Mali in one week. The pro-ISIS jihadists take advantage of the fact that the army and Wagner are busy protecting the Junta.