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Syria, the risks of a new violent conflict in Afrin are growing

The risks of a new violent conflict in Afrin are growing. Turkey and allied militias send reinforcements to Tel Abyad. The SAA and SDF do likewise east of Ain Issa. Ankara must drive the enemy away from Idlib, but the price could be very high

There is a real risk of a new conflict in Syria. For days, Turkey has been sending reinforcements to Tel Abyad, north of Raqqa. The Damascus army (SAA) does the same, together with the Kurdish SDF, deploying men and assets in al-Tarawzeya, east of Ain Issa. The last to join the game are the allied militias of the TAF, which move units towards Afrin. This is confirmed by the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights (SOHR). It is not clear what caused the acceleration of the crisis. It is certain, however, that the tension in the dial is skyrocketing. According to some analysts, Ankara fears that the SAA may get too close to Zawiya, exploiting the weakness of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) and other local factions; therefore, try to drive the enemy away from Idlib. The diversion, however, could prove fatal. Turkey would lose the neutrality of Russia, guarantor of the truce, and would give rise to a conflict with unpredictable outcomes.

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