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For Isis in Syria survival is at risk after the recent events

For Isis in Syria survival is at risk. Both because of the continuing advancing on the ground of the SDF at Deir Ezzor and also because the Coalition has decimated the chain of command

For Isis in Syria survival is at risk. Not only for the ground attacks of the SDF of the Operation Round Up at Deir Ezzor, advancing in the Middle Euphrates Valley (MERV), and of the army of Damascus (SAA) in the west of the river. But also and essentially because the network of smuggling of gas, oil and drugs used by the Islamic State to finance its activity was targeted by the International Coalition. It is not a coincidence that at the end of May 4 members of the network of the smugglers of Daesh were killed. Among them was also Abu Khattab al-Iraqi, head of the jihadist trafficking. As a consequence, Inherent Resolve announced that “the ability of the group to finance the operations in all Iraq and Syria was hampered”. And not only. “With the removal of this network, its capacity to pay the fighters, procure weapons and maintain the equipment will be degraded.”

Inherent Resolve has eliminated since 2017 all the leaders strategic for the survival of the Islamic State. The last one was the head of the smuggling activity. With this last operation, the International Coalition decimated the chain of command of Isis in Syria and in Iraq. Since the beginning of 2017 there has been a manhunt aimed at the strategic heads of the Islamic State

Till now the victims killed are Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi one of the highest counselors of the “caliph” who is also one of the ideological leaders of the Islamic State, the engineers responsible of the weapons development of Daesh, the leaders of propaganda and logistics and finally the planners of the external operations. The commanders of smuggling were the last missing link. Essential for the jihadists to continue to exist. In fact, recently the discontent inside the IS is growing because of the failure in the payment of salaries, the increasing successes of the SDF and finally the scarcity of resources available. This turned into massive escapes and internal clashes, which are expected to increase in the near future.

Daesh looses at Homs a maxi load of Captagon, the jihadists’ drug. A part of the load was to be sold and the rest was to be distributed among the jihadists. What will happen when the withdrawal symptoms will start?

Moreover, Isis in Syria has recently suffered a blow much more deadly than the killing of its leaders. This is the confiscation of narcotics at At Tanf in the province of Homs. Over 300,000 pills of Captagon, known as the “drug of jihadists”, worth 1.4 million dollars. The lot was taken away from Daesh by Maghawir al- Thowra, a partner of the International Coalition. Most of the load was supposed to be sold to finance the Islamic State, although a percentage of it was to be distributed among the jihadists at Deir Ezzor. Both as a placebo to calm down the spirits and also to prevent the loss of willingness to fight of the jihadists. However, many among them have become addicted to the amphetamine and this non-delivery risks to increase chaos and weaken the defense capacity of the militiamen. This as a consequence of withdrawal crisis, which could lead to unpredictable behaviors.

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